We are excited to share DecisionMap Wealth Management’s Market Outlook for the first Quarter of 2026, which also includes a review of 2025.
As we start the New Year, the market is still powered by structural trends, especially Artificial Intelligence (AI) and power infrastructure. However, they now face a more selective environment where discipline and execution matter more than ever.
Key Themes We Expore in this Market Outlook:
Don’t Fight Trump: Policy tailwinds remain visible as the administration continues to push for lower rates, energy expansion, and AI leadership
AI Supercycle, Still Early: Hyperscalers are funding record AI investments with strong cash flow, and AI multiples remain only modestly above post-ChatGPT averages
Power as the Bottleneck: U.S. grid constraints are real, with electrification and data center demand driving significant investment needs
Precious Metals Surge: Gold (+65%) and silver (+148%) outperformed as investors returned to safe havens
Credit & Private Markets: Bonds delivered their best year since 2020, but dispersion is rising, manager selection in private credit and direct lending is critical
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